Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 4.355729 5.188529 6.115148 7.219374 8.496018 9.922113 11.632125
2025-07-27 3.313478 4.428284 5.794480 7.578179 9.830116 12.562027 16.108307
2025-08-03 2.532988 3.733878 5.330020 7.576386 10.620493 14.561470 20.001059
2025-08-10 1.924820 3.099300 4.777235 7.298680 10.929349 15.894485 23.106143
2025-08-17 1.500731 2.619863 4.326695 7.045650 11.174504 17.094548 26.075249
2025-08-24 1.240937 2.329834 4.090085 7.041465 11.734331 18.740827 29.767779
2025-08-31 1.044349 2.099180 3.899043 7.061805 12.304627 20.420814 33.617633
2025-09-07 0.872213 1.873784 3.674338 6.983148 12.687761 21.822463 37.130666
2025-09-14 0.699728 1.610212 3.336820 6.656611 12.609331 22.465745 39.480571
2025-09-21 0.596996 1.461888 3.182382 6.625591 13.015583 23.907878 43.197489
2025-09-28 0.511450 1.330901 3.038350 6.589251 13.397873 25.325781 46.960574
2025-10-05 0.481410 1.316411 3.122752 6.996740 14.620162 28.267054 53.488448
2025-10-12 0.434566 1.255501 3.106245 7.211007 15.518689 30.739912 59.441135
2025-10-19 0.402788 1.224945 3.150607 7.555118 16.700319 33.811652 66.664711
2025-10-26 0.350472 1.129954 3.036118 7.548923 17.188789 35.648466 71.799646
2025-11-02 0.289832 0.997215 2.811301 7.270794 17.094024 36.379166 74.955446
2025-11-09 0.240628 0.883457 2.611337 7.018227 17.019264 37.130087 78.182374
2025-11-16 0.210706 0.819373 2.524284 7.013935 17.467873 38.925557 83.490655
2025-11-23 0.185850 0.764590 2.451897 7.034168 17.968927 40.855788 89.172401
2025-11-30 0.160671 0.701496 2.345689 6.955771 18.238428 42.329768 94.043191
2025-12-07 0.131197 0.613804 2.153429 6.630365 17.904798 42.525012 96.367311
2025-12-14 0.114724 0.569000 2.077811 6.599452 18.257136 44.185452 101.754070
2025-12-21 0.100282 0.527416 2.004116 6.563238 18.591435 45.826632 107.193346